Navia Weekly Roundup (Nov 17 – 21, 2025)
Week in the Review
The Indian equity indices extended the gains in the second consecutive week ended November 21 amid volatility led by delay in US India trade deal, uncertainty about Fed rate cut after better US non-farm payroll data, falling rupee and soft manufacturing PMI data.
Indices Analysis
For the week, BSE Sensex index added 0.62 percent to close at 85,231.92 and Nifty50 rose 0.46 percent to finish at 26,068.15.
The BSE Large-cap Index ended with marginal gains. Hero MotoCorp, Max Healthcare Institute, Eicher Motors, Bharti Airtel, Siemens were among major gainers, while losers were Vodafone Idea, JSW Energy, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Bajaj Holdings & Investment, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, DLF.
BSE Mid-cap Index shed 1 percent dragged by Kaynes Technology India, Supreme Industries, Bharat Dynamics, Star Health & Allied Insurance Company, Tube Investments of India, Kansai Nerolac Paints, however, gainers included Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services, GMR Airports, 360 One Wam, PB Fintech, LT Technology Services, Hexaware Technologies.
The BSE Small-cap index declined 2 percent with Fischer Medical Ventures, Spectrum Electrical Industries, RIR Power Electronics, Jai Balaji Industries, Websol Energy System, Deccan Cements falling between 15-30 percent, while gainers were Astec Lifesciences, Sri Adhikari Brothers Television, VLS Finance, 5paisa Capital, VL E-Governance and IT Solutions and Narayana Hrudayalaya.
The Foreign Institutional Investors’ (FIIs) reduced its selling in this week as they sold equities worth Rs 188 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) continued their buying as they bought equities worth Rs 12,969.03 crore.
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Sector Spotlight
On the sectoral front, Nifty IT index surged 1.6%, Nifty Auto index added 1%, Nifty Bank index rose 0.6%, on the other hand, Nifty Realty index fell 3.7%, Nifty Metal index fell 3.3%, Nifty Media shed 2.4%.
Top Gainers and Losers
Currency Chronicles
USD/INR:
The USD/INR rate closed at โน89.58 per dollar, gaining 1.05% during the week, reflecting a bullish market sentiment.
EUR/INR:
The EUR/INR rate closed at โน103.16 per euro, gaining 0.14% during the week, reflecting a bullish market sentiment.
JPY/INR:
The JPY/INR rate closed at โน0.57 per yen, losing 0.1% during the week, reflecting a bearish market sentiment.
Stay tuned for more currency insights next week!
Commodity Corner
Crude oil prices continue to trade within a descending channel, indicating persistent selling pressure. The price has repeatedly failed to sustain above the upper trendline resistance, suggesting that short-term sentiment remains bearish unless a breakout occurs. The immediate resistance is placed nearย 5,350โ5,400, aligned with the upper channel, while strong supply exists atย 5,511. On the downside, the lower channel support nearย 5,050โ5,000 remains a key demand zone. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further downside, while intraday bounce trades are possible only near support with strict stop-losses. Despite mild demand improvements from global inventory expectations, the technical structure stays weak, favoring sell on rise as long as prices stay below the upper channel. Traders should remain cautious and follow strict levels with risk management.
In the last session, Gold closed at 122,572. Gold on MCX is currently trading nearย 1,22,600, holding firm within a rising ascending channel, signaling continued strength in the short term. After a mild pullback from the upper trendline, prices are now consolidating near support levels, suggesting a buy-on-dips opportunity as long as the lower channel holds. The broader outlook remains constructive, supported by expectations of a weaker US dollar and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. However, traders should watch for heightened volatility ahead of theย 1,25,000 resistance zone, where supply pressure may emerge. Overall, the trend remains upward, and dips towards the support zone could offer favorable risk-reward setups. Caution is advised only if prices break below 1,21,600, which may hint at a short-term trend reversal.
Natural Gas last session closed at 396, continuing their strong bullish momentum after a clean breakout above the major resistance zones atย 363 andย 394. The price has now entered an overextended rally phase, with buyers aggressively pushing through theย 407 resistance area. The structure indicates a strong uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows visible since the breakout from the falling channel. As long as prices hold aboveย 394, the bulls remain firmly in control. A sustained close aboveย 414โ420 could open the next bullish leg towardย 435โ450. However, profit booking may emerge due to the sharp run-up, and a pullback towardย 394โ407 cannot be ruled out. This zone now acts as a strong support demand area. Belowย 394, momentum may weaken, dragging prices towardย 363.
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